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Analysis

A stronger El Niño is not a local winter forecast

NOAA expects El Niño to strengthen further, while explicitly warning that even a very strong event does not guarantee its usual impacts. Understanding why means separating Pacific conditions, global temperatures and regional weather.

James Whitmore ·

Climate · Europe

El Niño fuels climate disasters: The high price of inaction

2026 is set to be one of the hottest years on record, with El Niño worsening the impact of extreme weather events. With COP31 underway in Turkey, FRANCE 24 speaks with the UNDP's climate boss about the cost of waiting in a warmer world, and with one of the student activists from Pacific Island nations who took their climate fight to the UN's highest court, and won.

France 24 ·

Climate · United States

A super El Niño brings startling changes for marine life on California coast: ‘like nothing we’ve ever seen’

Water temperatures are climbing the charts, high tides are swallowing the shoreline and vital parts of the food web that feed ocean diversity are disappearing On a picturesque autumn afternoon last week, the beaches of California’s Monterey Bay were teeming with life and death. A cadre of shorebirds charged and retreated in a synchronized dance with the raging surf. Nearby, the receding tides had deposited…

The Guardian ·

Climate

El Niño will increase risk of death in childbirth for millions, say midwives

Effects of extreme weather expected in countries that already have high maternal and newborn death rates El Niño stokes a higher risk of death in childbirth for millions of women in the world’s harshest crisis zones, midwives have warned. Converging waves of weather – floods, cyclones and extreme heat – forecast to peak in the coming months will prove fatal for many, especially pregnant women, who face being cut…

The Guardian ·

Climate · United Kingdom

‘El Niño turned off the taps’: factors behind Indonesia’s wildfires revealed

Country’s fiercest blazes in at least a decade produced toxic smog blamed for 400,000 respiratory infections Indonesia’s fiercest fires in at least a decade were amplified by an “El Niño that turned off the taps” and “fossil fuels that turned up the heat”, scientists have revealed. Along with the conversion of forests to plantations, this created the conditions for blazes that have burned almost 3m hectares (7.4m…

The Guardian ·

Climate · Europe

COP31: Climate disruption puts farmers and global food supplies under pressure

As delegates gather in Turkey for the COP31 climate conference, discussions are focusing on emissions and climate targets. But humanitarian agencies are highlighting another urgent consequence of climate disruption: growing food insecurity. With the return of El Niño adding to concerns over extreme weather and its impact on food production, the Food and Agriculture Organisation is calling for food systems to be…

France 24 ·

Press Release

2026 El Niño: Managing Root-Zone Moisture When Water Is Limited

SOCO explains where soil hydrogels can help retain moisture and what growers should consider when irrigation water is limited. CHINO, Calif., Nov. 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- As the 2026 El Niño event continues to intensify, agricultural regions across Asia-Pacific, Africa and South America...

PR Newswire ·

Business · Europe

COP31 climate summit: Can we electrify the world?

The UN's annual climate change summit, known as COP31, opens this Monday in Turkey amid deep concern following deadly heatwaves in Europe and deadly floods in Nepal. A "super El Niño" in the Pacific is also expected to drive more extreme weather events. In response, COP31 host Turkey is set to launch a global initiative aiming to electrify a third of the world economy. FRANCE 24's Environment Editor Valerie…

France 24 ·

Climate · Europe

COP31: A focus on electrification as extreme weather events shake the world

Most of the world’s countries are gathering this week for COP31 in Antalya, Turkey. This United Nations Climate Change Conference opens amid deep concern following extreme weather events such as the deadly floods in Nepal and a supersized El Niño. Experts say that in uncertain times, it is even more important to accelerate global efforts.

France 24 ·

Climate

COP31 opens in Antalya: Can climate promises finally deliver results?

Nearly 200 countries have arrived on Türkiye's Mediterranean coast for a climate summit with a different ambition: fewer grand declarations and more concrete decisions. With a powerful El Niño threatening to worsen extreme weather, negotiators face difficult questions over climate finance, clean energy and how to protect communities already living with the consequences of climate change.

United Nations ·

Climate · Europe

Cop31 must deliver climate progress that people can see is real, host says

High-stakes talks involving 190 countries begin on Monday as world grapples with El Niño supercharged by fossil fuels The Cop31 summit must produce progress, “a tangible outcome ... that people can see is real”, its host has said as scores of world leaders and representatives of close to 190 countries gather in Turkey for the UN climate talks. The high-stakes meeting begins on Monday, as countries around the…

The Guardian ·

Business · United Kingdom

Banana producers in Latin America want better pay to cope with effects of climate crisis

Farmers face big drop in production from extreme weather during this year’s super El Niño event Banana producers in Latin America are calling for better pay to help cope with the impact of the climate crisis, as they face big drops in production resulting from extreme weather during this year’s super El Niño event. High winds in parts of Colombia, one of the biggest suppliers to the UK market where droughts are…

The Guardian ·

Health

El Niño-driven drought in Papua New Guinea a ‘national crisis’ as rivers dry up and local farms fail

As many as 8 million people have been affected by food shortages, electricity blackouts and health clinic closures Extreme drought driven by an historic El Niño is affecting as many as 8 million people in Papua New Guinea, causing a cascade of issues from shortages of food and water, to electricity scarcity and schooling disruption. An influential coalition that includes churches, trade unions and business groups…

The Guardian ·

Climate

Will it be AI or the climate crisis that ends humanity? We can make it neither | Adam McKay and Philip Eubanks

Both of these threats have the same roots: private entities seeking to cash in. We have the power to stand against them A summer of extreme heat, entire villages obliterated in Nepal, a super El Niño breaking records, Exxon publicly saying we may reach 3C by 2050 – could it possibly be any worse? How about throwing AI extinction in the mix? Continue reading...

The Guardian ·

Climate · United States

Trump’s cuts have exposed US to ‘cascade’ of El Niño dangers, experts warn

President has taken an axe to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, stalling climate research on and response to extreme weather events Sweeping cuts to the premier US climate agency under Donald Trump have severely hampered the country’s capacity to forecast, research and respond to extreme weather events, former government officials and scientists have warned, as the US faces a cascade of hazards…

The Guardian ·

Climate · United States

US forces accused of ‘weaponising’ Somalia’s floods by trapping women and children in the path of El Niño

Exclusive: Coordinated airstrikes on territory held by al-Shabaab are driving the civilian population to find refuge alongside a river where rising water levels are a threat to safety. Is it a deliberate military strategy? The water was rising rapidly. It had already reached Cayni Ali’s waist. Her home, five metres from the flooded River Juba in southern Somalia, never stood a chance. There was nowhere to go.…

The Guardian ·

Press Release

El Niño Then and Now

A 35-year satellite altimetry record lets scientists hold this year’s El Niño up against its strongest predecessors.

NASA ·